Put the prediction beside what actually happened.

A forecast is frozen with its public source, event definition, probability, and resolution rule. Later, an independently hosted outcome is read by validators. The contract—not the model—calculates the Brier score.

FORECAST PLATENO PLATE

Nothing locked yet.

—%

Open a forecast to freeze what is being predicted and how it must later be resolved.

FORECAST SOURCE DIGEST WILL APPEAR HERE

BRIER / 0 BEST

—

awaiting outcome

OUTCOME PLATEEMPTY

Resolution note

The outcome source must be on a different host. If the frozen criteria cannot be applied cleanly, the plate closes as unresolved and no score is invented.

OUTCOME SOURCE DIGEST WILL APPEAR HERE

STATE / NOT LOADED